13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
As anticipated, gold is getting whacked. But what kind of whack is it?
To speculators on the wrong side of the trade, it was catastrophic. But was it serious? Maybe. Maybe not.
We’ve already given you our big prediction on gold. No point in saying anymore.
The bull market in gold began at the end of the ’90s. It will keep going until the price of gold intersects the price of the Dow. Currently, the Dow is over 10,000...and going up. Yesterday, it rose 143 points.
Gold, meanwhile, is going down. December contracts lost $104 yesterday. At one point, the spot price was down $150. It now costs less than $1,800 to buy an ounce of the stuff.
So, there’s still a WIDE gap between the Dow and gold, and it’s getting wider. Will it ever close? Who knows? But that’s our bet. And if we’re even close we’ll call it a success.
Because what it tells us is that the movements in gold and in stocks are long and big. And if you want to make real money, you focus on these big movements, not in the day to day price frenzy.
The way we see it, the time to get into stocks was in August 1982. Or anytime in the ’80s. Stocks went up for years...until the Dow finally peaked in January 2000. It had gained more than 1,000% — a 10 bagger, as investors like to say.
But then what? Then, forget stocks. January 2000 was the time to get into gold. There was a bust in the stock market in the early ’00s...followed by intervention from the feds...which led to a huge bubble. That bubble blew up in ’08-’09...sawing the Dow almost in half. Since then, another more massive meddling by the feds has moved the Dow back up. But to where? Around the same place it cracked 11 years ago.
In other words, for all the sturm and drang in the stock market over the last 11 years, investors have made nothing. Not even nothing. Less than nothing. A barrel of oil was $25 in 2000. Now, it’s over $80. More than 3 times as much. Prices have gone up for everything...while the stock market investor has not a penny more than he had when Bill Clinton left the White House.
The gold buyer, on the other hand, has 5 times as much money — even after yesterday’s big whack.
He who laughs last laughs best.
Yesterday, stock market investors got to laugh at the gold bugs. It’s time they had a chuckle. They’ve waited years for it. And our guess is that they’ll have plenty more laughs in the months...and years...ahead.
Because this is no place for a gold bug. Not really. We are fastened to a whole herd of dying animals — the credit expansion...the housing decline...Keynesian economic theory...the dollar-based monetary system...the social welfare political model...the bankrupt empire...the declining marginal utility of military force, debt and oil...and all those dying generations themselves. And we could probably think of more! All of them, in their dotage, will drag down prices...including, perhaps, even the price of gold.
We will have to wait for these wretched things to die. Then, when they are out of their misery and out of the way...or brushed aside by a desperate Fed...the next stage of gold’s bull market can begin.
저는 그냥 카피만 했구요.
영어가 넘 어려워용~
저 긴영어를 해석할줄아는사람이 몇이나 된다고...본인이 읽고있는거라고 달랑 영어만 올리는 분...자랑하고싶으신건지 의도를 모르겠네요.
지금은 금에 투자할 때가 아니라는 내용인 듯....
현 상황은 결국 금의 가격조차 끌어내리고 말 거라는.
그냥 하나의 의견인 듯하니 참고는 하되 너무 믿지는 마세요.
제가 보기엔 그닥 신뢰가 갈 만하거나 논리적인 글은 아닌 것 같아요.
번호 | 제목 | 작성자 | 날짜 | 조회 |
---|---|---|---|---|
12563 | 인테리어 3 | 된다!! | 2011/09/15 | 1,116 |
12562 | 전업주부님들 오늘 뭐하실건가요 7 | 갈등중 | 2011/09/15 | 1,828 |
12561 | 윤대표가 자기자식으로 알까요? 4 | 미쓰아줌마 | 2011/09/15 | 1,212 |
12560 | 방과후 학원 몇개씩 다니는 초등생은 어찌 버티나요? 12 | 초등5 | 2011/09/15 | 2,470 |
12559 | 나보고 속 좁다는 우리 남편 비정상이죠? 12 | 살다보면 | 2011/09/15 | 2,037 |
12558 | 타행 이체시....이럴 경우 되돌려 받을 수 있나요? 9 | 햇볕쬐자. | 2011/09/15 | 1,417 |
12557 | 이코노미 좌석이 비즈니스로... 18 | ... | 2011/09/15 | 4,235 |
12556 | 니비루가 보입니다. 이제 막아놓지도 않았네요. 1 | 징조 | 2011/09/15 | 16,397 |
12555 | 한복에 양장백 들면 이상할까요? 9 | 111 | 2011/09/15 | 1,491 |
12554 | 미인의 조건(미모에 대한 절친과 조카의 견해) 3 | 마하난자 | 2011/09/15 | 3,660 |
12553 | 아들 머리냄새..(성 조숙증?) 3 | 무지개소녀 | 2011/09/15 | 4,515 |
12552 | 저녁에 걷기 해보려고 하는데 신발 추천이요... 15 | ^^ | 2011/09/15 | 2,574 |
12551 | 아이 얼굴 바뀐다라는 말에 위로 받았건만 12 | 100% | 2011/09/15 | 2,456 |
12550 | 중3아들이 새벽2시까지 안들어오네요 10 | 무자식상팔자.. | 2011/09/15 | 2,733 |
12549 | 산후조리 조언좀 부탁드려요 8 | 123 | 2011/09/15 | 1,191 |
12548 | 세탁기 잘 빨리는거 추천좀.. (식스모션 vs 버블) 4 | 아우진짜 | 2011/09/15 | 2,173 |
12547 | 선크림만 바르면 슈에무라 클렌징오일 쓸 필요없나요? 4 | 클렌징의 최.. | 2011/09/15 | 2,383 |
12546 | 윈7에서 인터넷이 갑자기 닫힙니다. 이런맨트가 뜨는거 왜그럴까요.. | ... | 2011/09/15 | 876 |
12545 | 임플란트 전공의 어떻게 구별하나요? 13 | 치아말썽 | 2011/09/15 | 3,526 |
12544 | 저는 영혼을 봅니다 아주 가끔 49 | 안개처럼 | 2011/09/15 | 15,930 |
12543 | 묵은것을 못참아 하는 버릇의 내면엔? 8 | 무명씨 | 2011/09/15 | 1,924 |
12542 | 곽노현 교육감님은 어떻게 되고 있는 건가요... 9 | 학생인권 화.. | 2011/09/15 | 1,974 |
12541 | 이경규보니 라면 경연대회나가고 싶네요 2 | ... | 2011/09/15 | 1,051 |
12540 | 친정부모님 생신상 차려드린적 있으신가요? 30 | 생신 | 2011/09/15 | 3,289 |
12539 | 우리 아기..잘 보내고왔습니다.. 77 | 못난엄마입니.. | 2011/09/15 | 13,947 |