13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
As anticipated, gold is getting whacked. But what kind of whack is it?
To speculators on the wrong side of the trade, it was catastrophic. But was it serious? Maybe. Maybe not.
We’ve already given you our big prediction on gold. No point in saying anymore.
The bull market in gold began at the end of the ’90s. It will keep going until the price of gold intersects the price of the Dow. Currently, the Dow is over 10,000...and going up. Yesterday, it rose 143 points.
Gold, meanwhile, is going down. December contracts lost $104 yesterday. At one point, the spot price was down $150. It now costs less than $1,800 to buy an ounce of the stuff.
So, there’s still a WIDE gap between the Dow and gold, and it’s getting wider. Will it ever close? Who knows? But that’s our bet. And if we’re even close we’ll call it a success.
Because what it tells us is that the movements in gold and in stocks are long and big. And if you want to make real money, you focus on these big movements, not in the day to day price frenzy.
The way we see it, the time to get into stocks was in August 1982. Or anytime in the ’80s. Stocks went up for years...until the Dow finally peaked in January 2000. It had gained more than 1,000% — a 10 bagger, as investors like to say.
But then what? Then, forget stocks. January 2000 was the time to get into gold. There was a bust in the stock market in the early ’00s...followed by intervention from the feds...which led to a huge bubble. That bubble blew up in ’08-’09...sawing the Dow almost in half. Since then, another more massive meddling by the feds has moved the Dow back up. But to where? Around the same place it cracked 11 years ago.
In other words, for all the sturm and drang in the stock market over the last 11 years, investors have made nothing. Not even nothing. Less than nothing. A barrel of oil was $25 in 2000. Now, it’s over $80. More than 3 times as much. Prices have gone up for everything...while the stock market investor has not a penny more than he had when Bill Clinton left the White House.
The gold buyer, on the other hand, has 5 times as much money — even after yesterday’s big whack.
He who laughs last laughs best.
Yesterday, stock market investors got to laugh at the gold bugs. It’s time they had a chuckle. They’ve waited years for it. And our guess is that they’ll have plenty more laughs in the months...and years...ahead.
Because this is no place for a gold bug. Not really. We are fastened to a whole herd of dying animals — the credit expansion...the housing decline...Keynesian economic theory...the dollar-based monetary system...the social welfare political model...the bankrupt empire...the declining marginal utility of military force, debt and oil...and all those dying generations themselves. And we could probably think of more! All of them, in their dotage, will drag down prices...including, perhaps, even the price of gold.
We will have to wait for these wretched things to die. Then, when they are out of their misery and out of the way...or brushed aside by a desperate Fed...the next stage of gold’s bull market can begin.
저는 그냥 카피만 했구요.
영어가 넘 어려워용~
저 긴영어를 해석할줄아는사람이 몇이나 된다고...본인이 읽고있는거라고 달랑 영어만 올리는 분...자랑하고싶으신건지 의도를 모르겠네요.
지금은 금에 투자할 때가 아니라는 내용인 듯....
현 상황은 결국 금의 가격조차 끌어내리고 말 거라는.
그냥 하나의 의견인 듯하니 참고는 하되 너무 믿지는 마세요.
제가 보기엔 그닥 신뢰가 갈 만하거나 논리적인 글은 아닌 것 같아요.
번호 | 제목 | 작성자 | 날짜 | 조회 |
---|---|---|---|---|
7447 | 생리중인데 몸이 너무 가뿐해서 외출까지 했어요! 18 | 생리통해방?.. | 2011/09/09 | 3,470 |
7446 | 4살짜리 아이와 함께 하는 해외여행지로 어디가 좋을까요? 3 | 10주년 | 2011/09/09 | 6,467 |
7445 | 소소한 선물... 3 | 성의 | 2011/09/09 | 1,106 |
7444 | '여인의 향기' 베드신 왜 이리 진한가 했더니... 1 | 마사 | 2011/09/09 | 3,959 |
7443 | 몸과 마음이 지친 사람이 쉴 수 있는 절이나 기관이 있나요?.... 4 | 마음의 돌 | 2011/09/09 | 1,175 |
7442 | 코스트코 영양제 드셔보신분요? | 영양제 | 2011/09/09 | 1,089 |
7441 | 수술하기전에 의사가 스크럽하는것이 궁금해요.. 4 | 수술실 | 2011/09/09 | 5,064 |
7440 | 발각질,,,,,고질적인 6 | 초록가득 | 2011/09/09 | 3,418 |
7439 | 인터넷+전화 놓는 비용 얼마 정도 하나요? 7 | 비용 | 2011/09/09 | 1,268 |
7438 | 예비 신랑 저한테 거짓말 한건가요? 판단 좀....(원글 지웁니.. 51 | 허얼... | 2011/09/09 | 14,394 |
7437 | 여론조사에서 박원순 변호사 지지도 1위. | .... | 2011/09/09 | 1,052 |
7436 | 미국 초등학교 입학 나이가 어찌 되나요? 4 | 질문 | 2011/09/09 | 19,520 |
7435 | 이런 날도 다 있네요...-_- 1 | 벌레ㅠㅠ | 2011/09/09 | 876 |
7434 | 건강검진 얼마정도 있어야 할수 있나요? 1 | 삼십대중반 | 2011/09/09 | 949 |
7433 | 영화 써니를 지금에서야 봤어요 그런데 마지막 수지 어른역으로 나.. 3 | nn | 2011/09/09 | 15,304 |
7432 | 어린이집선생님 추석선물보내야하나요? 10 | .. | 2011/09/09 | 2,963 |
7431 | 법인세는 좀 내리는게 좋지 않나요? 5 | 운덩어리 | 2011/09/09 | 911 |
7430 | 아기한테만 말거는 묘한 상황... 11 | 아기엄마 | 2011/09/08 | 2,591 |
7429 | 교육청 영재원 다니면 뭐가 좋을까요? 8 | ... | 2011/09/08 | 9,085 |
7428 | 자유게시판 글은 스크랩 안되나요? 1 | 고양이하트 | 2011/09/08 | 660 |
7427 | 배고파요~먹지 말아야 하는데..ㅠ 9 | .. | 2011/09/08 | 1,263 |
7426 | 홧병나는 시댁 어떤지 좀 봐주세요 14 | 가고 싶지 .. | 2011/09/08 | 3,227 |
7425 | 대항마 김황식 차출? 그래도 인지도 나경원? 아니면 ‘제3의 인.. 3 | 세우실 | 2011/09/08 | 856 |
7424 | 공주의 남자 못 봤어요. 4 | 알려주세요 | 2011/09/08 | 1,584 |
7423 | 공주의 남자... 5 | ,,, | 2011/09/08 | 2,177 |